Evidence Breakdown
Based on 9 studies
THE BIGGER QUESTION
Whether this one statement holds is settled above. What to actually do about it is a wider question, weighed across every claim that bears on it.
Evidence map
For & against, at a glance
RCT
Pro
Chekima K et al. · 2022FoodsEight-week randomised controlled trial in 40 overweight/obese but non-diabetic young adults (mean age 26.4 y, BMI 29.4 kg/m², normal fasting glucose) in which both arms received low-glycaemic-index/load nutrition education and the intervention arm additionally wore a real-time CGM. The CGM arm lost slightly more weight (3.1 kg vs 2.3 kg; between-group difference 0.8 kg, p = 0.03) and fat mass (2.8 kg vs 2.0 kg, p = 0.04), and reduced dietary GI and GL more, with a small fasting glucose difference (0.1 mmol/L, p = 0.04); HbA1c, BMI and total energy intake did not differ significantly between groups. This is the closest thing to a hard-outcome RCT of CGM in non-diabetics, but it is small (n = 39 completers), 8 weeks long, unblinded, tests CGM only as an add-on to an active dietary programme, and reported that CGM mainly improved adherence and the accuracy of self-reported intake.
0.44
Eight-week randomised controlled trial in 40 overweight/obese but non-diabetic young adults (mean age 26.4 y, BMI 29.4 kg/m², normal fasting glucose) in which both arms received low-glycaemic-index/load nutrition education and the intervention arm additionally wore a real-time CGM. The CGM arm lost slightly more weight (3.1 kg vs 2.3 kg; between-group difference 0.8 kg, p = 0.03) and fat mass (2.8 kg vs 2.0 kg, p = 0.04), and reduced dietary GI and GL more, with a small fasting glucose difference (0.1 mmol/L, p = 0.04); HbA1c, BMI and total energy intake did not differ significantly between groups. This is the closest thing to a hard-outcome RCT of CGM in non-diabetics, but it is small (n = 39 completers), 8 weeks long, unblinded, tests CGM only as an add-on to an active dietary programme, and reported that CGM mainly improved adherence and the accuracy of self-reported intake.
Design RCT (0.8) × quality 0.55 = impact 0.44
View sourceMeta-Analysis
Con
Richardson KM et al. · 2024International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical ActivitySystematic review and meta-analysis of 25 randomised controlled trials (n = 2,996) testing CGM feedback as a behaviour-change tool in populations with and without diabetes. Pooled across all populations, CGM arms achieved a modest HbA1c reduction of 0.28% (95% CI 0.15–0.42) and +7.4% time in range, but there were **no significant effects on body weight (−0.7 kg) or BMI (−0.4 kg/m²)**, and only 5 of 25 trials measured physical activity (results mixed, no consistent improvement). Crucially, the population was overwhelmingly diabetic (~68% type 2 diabetes) and **only 3 of the 25 trials enrolled people without diabetes** (all in overweight/obesity); the authors state that more studies are needed "particularly in subgroups that have been minimally investigated (e.g., participants without diabetes)" and that different outcome measures may be more appropriate in that group.
0.55
Systematic review and meta-analysis of 25 randomised controlled trials (n = 2,996) testing CGM feedback as a behaviour-change tool in populations with and without diabetes. Pooled across all populations, CGM arms achieved a modest HbA1c reduction of 0.28% (95% CI 0.15–0.42) and +7.4% time in range, but there were **no significant effects on body weight (−0.7 kg) or BMI (−0.4 kg/m²)**, and only 5 of 25 trials measured physical activity (results mixed, no consistent improvement). Crucially, the population was overwhelmingly diabetic (~68% type 2 diabetes) and **only 3 of the 25 trials enrolled people without diabetes** (all in overweight/obesity); the authors state that more studies are needed "particularly in subgroups that have been minimally investigated (e.g., participants without diabetes)" and that different outcome measures may be more appropriate in that group.
Design Meta-Analysis (1.0) × quality 0.55 = impact 0.55
View sourceCrossover Trial
Con
Hutchins KM et al. · 2025The American Journal of Clinical NutritionRandomised crossover trial in 15 healthy adults (9 female, 6 male) without diabetes who each completed 7 laboratory visits, with glycaemic responses to test foods and drinks measured simultaneously by CGM (Abbott FreeStyle Libre 2) and by capillary fingerprick sampling as the criterion method. CGM overestimated glucose by 0.9 ± 0.6 mmol/L when fasting and 0.9 ± 0.5 mmol/L postprandially, and overestimated time spent above the 7.8 mmol/L threshold by roughly 4-fold (~2-fold after adjusting for baseline offset). The bias was not a fixed offset: between-participant SD of the bias was 0.6 mmol/L, and CGM reclassified a commercial fruit smoothie from a low glycaemic index of 53 (capillary) to a medium/high GI of 69. In healthy people, the device therefore manufactures "spikes" and out-of-range time that do not exist in blood.
0.45
Randomised crossover trial in 15 healthy adults (9 female, 6 male) without diabetes who each completed 7 laboratory visits, with glycaemic responses to test foods and drinks measured simultaneously by CGM (Abbott FreeStyle Libre 2) and by capillary fingerprick sampling as the criterion method. CGM overestimated glucose by 0.9 ± 0.6 mmol/L when fasting and 0.9 ± 0.5 mmol/L postprandially, and overestimated time spent above the 7.8 mmol/L threshold by roughly 4-fold (~2-fold after adjusting for baseline offset). The bias was not a fixed offset: between-participant SD of the bias was 0.6 mmol/L, and CGM reclassified a commercial fruit smoothie from a low glycaemic index of 53 (capillary) to a medium/high GI of 69. In healthy people, the device therefore manufactures "spikes" and out-of-range time that do not exist in blood.
Design Crossover Trial (0.75) × quality 0.60 = impact 0.45
View sourceCross-Sectional
Con
Rodriguez JA et al. · 2026Diabetes Technology & TherapeuticsCross-sectional analysis of 972 adults aged 40+ (421 with type 2 diabetes, 319 with prediabetes, 232 normoglycaemic) who wore a Dexcom G6 for up to 10 days, comparing eight CGM metrics against laboratory HbA1c. The association between CGM metrics and HbA1c was strong in type 2 diabetes (mean glucose standardised β = 0.79, p < 0.001), substantially attenuated in prediabetes (β = 0.22), and essentially absent in normoglycaemic participants — CGM metrics were largely unrelated to HbA1c in people without diabetes. The practical implication is that the numbers an OTC CGM shows a healthy user do not track the one glycaemic measure with established prognostic value, so "improving your CGM numbers" is not the same thing as improving glycaemic health.
0.34
Cross-sectional analysis of 972 adults aged 40+ (421 with type 2 diabetes, 319 with prediabetes, 232 normoglycaemic) who wore a Dexcom G6 for up to 10 days, comparing eight CGM metrics against laboratory HbA1c. The association between CGM metrics and HbA1c was strong in type 2 diabetes (mean glucose standardised β = 0.79, p < 0.001), substantially attenuated in prediabetes (β = 0.22), and essentially absent in normoglycaemic participants — CGM metrics were largely unrelated to HbA1c in people without diabetes. The practical implication is that the numbers an OTC CGM shows a healthy user do not track the one glycaemic measure with established prognostic value, so "improving your CGM numbers" is not the same thing as improving glycaemic health.
Design Cross-Sectional (0.4) × quality 0.85 = impact 0.34
View sourceRCT
Pro
Chekima K et al. · 2022FoodsEight-week randomised controlled trial in 40 overweight/obese but non-diabetic young adults (mean age 26.4 y, BMI 29.4 kg/m², normal fasting glucose) in which both arms received low-glycaemic-index/load nutrition education and the intervention arm additionally wore a real-time CGM. The CGM arm lost slightly more weight (3.1 kg vs 2.3 kg; between-group difference 0.8 kg, p = 0.03) and fat mass (2.8 kg vs 2.0 kg, p = 0.04), and reduced dietary GI and GL more, with a small fasting glucose difference (0.1 mmol/L, p = 0.04); HbA1c, BMI and total energy intake did not differ significantly between groups. This is the closest thing to a hard-outcome RCT of CGM in non-diabetics, but it is small (n = 39 completers), 8 weeks long, unblinded, tests CGM only as an add-on to an active dietary programme, and reported that CGM mainly improved adherence and the accuracy of self-reported intake.
0.44
Eight-week randomised controlled trial in 40 overweight/obese but non-diabetic young adults (mean age 26.4 y, BMI 29.4 kg/m², normal fasting glucose) in which both arms received low-glycaemic-index/load nutrition education and the intervention arm additionally wore a real-time CGM. The CGM arm lost slightly more weight (3.1 kg vs 2.3 kg; between-group difference 0.8 kg, p = 0.03) and fat mass (2.8 kg vs 2.0 kg, p = 0.04), and reduced dietary GI and GL more, with a small fasting glucose difference (0.1 mmol/L, p = 0.04); HbA1c, BMI and total energy intake did not differ significantly between groups. This is the closest thing to a hard-outcome RCT of CGM in non-diabetics, but it is small (n = 39 completers), 8 weeks long, unblinded, tests CGM only as an add-on to an active dietary programme, and reported that CGM mainly improved adherence and the accuracy of self-reported intake.
Design RCT (0.8) × quality 0.55 = impact 0.44
View sourceMeta-Analysis
Con
Richardson KM et al. · 2024International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical ActivitySystematic review and meta-analysis of 25 randomised controlled trials (n = 2,996) testing CGM feedback as a behaviour-change tool in populations with and without diabetes. Pooled across all populations, CGM arms achieved a modest HbA1c reduction of 0.28% (95% CI 0.15–0.42) and +7.4% time in range, but there were **no significant effects on body weight (−0.7 kg) or BMI (−0.4 kg/m²)**, and only 5 of 25 trials measured physical activity (results mixed, no consistent improvement). Crucially, the population was overwhelmingly diabetic (~68% type 2 diabetes) and **only 3 of the 25 trials enrolled people without diabetes** (all in overweight/obesity); the authors state that more studies are needed "particularly in subgroups that have been minimally investigated (e.g., participants without diabetes)" and that different outcome measures may be more appropriate in that group.
0.55
Systematic review and meta-analysis of 25 randomised controlled trials (n = 2,996) testing CGM feedback as a behaviour-change tool in populations with and without diabetes. Pooled across all populations, CGM arms achieved a modest HbA1c reduction of 0.28% (95% CI 0.15–0.42) and +7.4% time in range, but there were **no significant effects on body weight (−0.7 kg) or BMI (−0.4 kg/m²)**, and only 5 of 25 trials measured physical activity (results mixed, no consistent improvement). Crucially, the population was overwhelmingly diabetic (~68% type 2 diabetes) and **only 3 of the 25 trials enrolled people without diabetes** (all in overweight/obesity); the authors state that more studies are needed "particularly in subgroups that have been minimally investigated (e.g., participants without diabetes)" and that different outcome measures may be more appropriate in that group.
Design Meta-Analysis (1.0) × quality 0.55 = impact 0.55
View sourceCrossover Trial
Con
Hutchins KM et al. · 2025The American Journal of Clinical NutritionRandomised crossover trial in 15 healthy adults (9 female, 6 male) without diabetes who each completed 7 laboratory visits, with glycaemic responses to test foods and drinks measured simultaneously by CGM (Abbott FreeStyle Libre 2) and by capillary fingerprick sampling as the criterion method. CGM overestimated glucose by 0.9 ± 0.6 mmol/L when fasting and 0.9 ± 0.5 mmol/L postprandially, and overestimated time spent above the 7.8 mmol/L threshold by roughly 4-fold (~2-fold after adjusting for baseline offset). The bias was not a fixed offset: between-participant SD of the bias was 0.6 mmol/L, and CGM reclassified a commercial fruit smoothie from a low glycaemic index of 53 (capillary) to a medium/high GI of 69. In healthy people, the device therefore manufactures "spikes" and out-of-range time that do not exist in blood.
0.45
Randomised crossover trial in 15 healthy adults (9 female, 6 male) without diabetes who each completed 7 laboratory visits, with glycaemic responses to test foods and drinks measured simultaneously by CGM (Abbott FreeStyle Libre 2) and by capillary fingerprick sampling as the criterion method. CGM overestimated glucose by 0.9 ± 0.6 mmol/L when fasting and 0.9 ± 0.5 mmol/L postprandially, and overestimated time spent above the 7.8 mmol/L threshold by roughly 4-fold (~2-fold after adjusting for baseline offset). The bias was not a fixed offset: between-participant SD of the bias was 0.6 mmol/L, and CGM reclassified a commercial fruit smoothie from a low glycaemic index of 53 (capillary) to a medium/high GI of 69. In healthy people, the device therefore manufactures "spikes" and out-of-range time that do not exist in blood.
Design Crossover Trial (0.75) × quality 0.60 = impact 0.45
View sourceCross-Sectional
Con
Rodriguez JA et al. · 2026Diabetes Technology & TherapeuticsCross-sectional analysis of 972 adults aged 40+ (421 with type 2 diabetes, 319 with prediabetes, 232 normoglycaemic) who wore a Dexcom G6 for up to 10 days, comparing eight CGM metrics against laboratory HbA1c. The association between CGM metrics and HbA1c was strong in type 2 diabetes (mean glucose standardised β = 0.79, p < 0.001), substantially attenuated in prediabetes (β = 0.22), and essentially absent in normoglycaemic participants — CGM metrics were largely unrelated to HbA1c in people without diabetes. The practical implication is that the numbers an OTC CGM shows a healthy user do not track the one glycaemic measure with established prognostic value, so "improving your CGM numbers" is not the same thing as improving glycaemic health.
0.34
Cross-sectional analysis of 972 adults aged 40+ (421 with type 2 diabetes, 319 with prediabetes, 232 normoglycaemic) who wore a Dexcom G6 for up to 10 days, comparing eight CGM metrics against laboratory HbA1c. The association between CGM metrics and HbA1c was strong in type 2 diabetes (mean glucose standardised β = 0.79, p < 0.001), substantially attenuated in prediabetes (β = 0.22), and essentially absent in normoglycaemic participants — CGM metrics were largely unrelated to HbA1c in people without diabetes. The practical implication is that the numbers an OTC CGM shows a healthy user do not track the one glycaemic measure with established prognostic value, so "improving your CGM numbers" is not the same thing as improving glycaemic health.
Design Cross-Sectional (0.4) × quality 0.85 = impact 0.34
View sourceShowing the 4 strongest of 9 studies. Tap any node to expand its detail.
Evidence
PRO (1)
PRO RCTn=390.55 Chekima K, Noor MI et al. (2022)
CGM arm lost 3.1 kg vs 2.3 kg (between-group difference 0.8 kg, p = 0.03) and 2.8 kg vs 2.0 kg fat mass (p = 0.04); HbA1c, BMI and total energy intake did not differ
Eight-week randomised controlled trial in 40 overweight/obese but non-diabetic young adults (mean age 26.4 y, BMI 29.4 kg/m², normal fasting glucose) in which both arms received low-glycaemic-index/load nutrition education and the intervention arm additionally wore a real-time CGM. The CGM arm lost slightly more weight (3.1 kg vs 2.3 kg; between-group difference 0.8 kg, p = 0.03) and fat mass (2.8 kg vs 2.0 kg, p = 0.04), and reduced dietary GI and GL more, with a small fasting glucose difference (0.1 mmol/L, p = 0.04); HbA1c, BMI and total energy intake did not differ significantly between groups. This is the closest thing to a hard-outcome RCT of CGM in non-diabetics, but it is small (n = 39 completers), 8 weeks long, unblinded, tests CGM only as an add-on to an active dietary programme, and reported that CGM mainly improved adherence and the accuracy of self-reported intake.
Weighted 0.55 — 39 completers over 8 weeks, unblinded, with CGM tested only as an add-on to an active low-GI dietary programme — so the isolated effect of the device is not identified. No CGM-manufacturer funding, which matters for a positive device result. Modest n, short duration and a small absolute between-group difference put this mid-band.
Funding: Taylor's University (Taylor's Flagship Research Grant TUFR/2017/003/04); authors declared no conflict of interest
Foods
AGAINST (6)
AGAINST Cross-Sectionaln=9720.85 Rodriguez JA, Palermo NE et al. (2026)
CGM-HbA1c association strong in type 2 diabetes (mean glucose standardised beta = 0.79, p < 0.001), attenuated in prediabetes (beta = 0.22), essentially absent in normoglycaemic participants
Cross-sectional analysis of 972 adults aged 40+ (421 with type 2 diabetes, 319 with prediabetes, 232 normoglycaemic) who wore a Dexcom G6 for up to 10 days, comparing eight CGM metrics against laboratory HbA1c. The association between CGM metrics and HbA1c was strong in type 2 diabetes (mean glucose standardised β = 0.79, p < 0.001), substantially attenuated in prediabetes (β = 0.22), and essentially absent in normoglycaemic participants — CGM metrics were largely unrelated to HbA1c in people without diabetes. The practical implication is that the numbers an OTC CGM shows a healthy user do not track the one glycaemic measure with established prognostic value, so "improving your CGM numbers" is not the same thing as improving glycaemic health.
Weighted 0.85 — Large for its design: n=972 analysed across three sites, with laboratory HbA1c and device-measured CGM rather than self-report. Publicly funded; peripheral industry ties (Novo Nordisk, Dexcom) declared as unrelated. Strong within the cross-sectional class, though the <=10-day CGM window against a ~3-month HbA1c window is an inherent mismatch, and restriction of range in the normoglycaemic group can attenuate its correlations.
Funding: NIH (NIMHD K23MD016439; NIDDK R01DK129305); AIM-AHEAD Bridge2AI AI-READI Training Program
Diabetes Technology & Therapeutics
AGAINST Expert Opinion0.85 American Diabetes Association Professional Practice Committee (2026)
CGM recommended from diagnosis for adults with diabetes on insulin or on therapies that can cause hypoglycaemia; for people without diabetes the document only notes descriptively that OTC-CGM devices can be purchased, and issues no recommendation, no target range and no interpretive framework
The ADA's annually updated Standards of Care is the most widely used professional guideline on glucose monitoring. Its 2026 diabetes-technology section broadens CGM recommendations considerably — CGM is now recommended from diagnosis onward for adults on insulin, on non-insulin therapies that can cause hypoglycaemia, and on any therapy where CGM aids management — but every graded recommendation is confined to people who have diabetes. On over-the-counter devices it says only, descriptively, that "anyone can purchase the OTC-CGM devices, including those without diabetes or with prediabetes who wish to assess their glycemic responses to their lifestyles, including the effects of food choices and exercise." It issues no recommendation, no interpretive framework and no target ranges for people without diabetes.
Weighted 0.85 — No sample size (professional guideline, not a study) and no funding statement located, so both fields are omitted. Within the expert-opinion class this is near the ceiling: the ADA Standards of Care is the most authoritative and most widely used guideline on glucose monitoring, is annually updated and graded, and its silence on non-diabetic use is directly on point for the claim. Weight 0.85 reflects that authority; the low base weight of expert_opinion already discounts the design.
Diabetes Care 49(Suppl 1):S150–S165 — Section 7, Diabetes Technology: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2026
AGAINST Crossover Trialn=15CONFLICTED0.60 Hutchins KM, Betts JA et al. (2025)
CGM read 0.9 +/- 0.6 mmol/L high when fasting and 0.9 +/- 0.5 mmol/L high postprandially versus capillary blood, overestimated time above 7.8 mmol/L roughly 4-fold, and reclassified a fruit smoothie from GI 53 to GI 69
Randomised crossover trial in 15 healthy adults (9 female, 6 male) without diabetes who each completed 7 laboratory visits, with glycaemic responses to test foods and drinks measured simultaneously by CGM (Abbott FreeStyle Libre 2) and by capillary fingerprick sampling as the criterion method. CGM overestimated glucose by 0.9 ± 0.6 mmol/L when fasting and 0.9 ± 0.5 mmol/L postprandially, and overestimated time spent above the 7.8 mmol/L threshold by roughly 4-fold (~2-fold after adjusting for baseline offset). The bias was not a fixed offset: between-participant SD of the bias was 0.6 mmol/L, and CGM reclassified a commercial fruit smoothie from a low glycaemic index of 53 (capillary) to a medium/high GI of 69. In healthy people, the device therefore manufactures "spikes" and out-of-range time that do not exist in blood.
Weighted 0.60 — n=15, every participant completing all 7 laboratory visits, measured against a capillary criterion method -- a tightly controlled within-subject design. Small sample and healthy non-diabetic adults only. Funded by a smoothie manufacturer whose product the finding flatters: a result showing CGM manufactures spikes that are not in the blood serves the funder's commercial interest, so the positive direction warrants caution.
Funding: Innocent Drinks (unrestricted grant) — the funder profits from this result.
The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition
AGAINST Meta-Analysisn=29960.55 Richardson KM, Jospe MR et al. (2024)
HbA1c fell 0.28% (95% CI 0.15-0.42) and time in range rose 7.4%, but there was no significant effect on body weight (-0.7 kg) or BMI (-0.4 kg/m²); only 5 of 25 trials measured physical activity, with mixed results
Systematic review and meta-analysis of 25 randomised controlled trials (n = 2,996) testing CGM feedback as a behaviour-change tool in populations with and without diabetes. Pooled across all populations, CGM arms achieved a modest HbA1c reduction of 0.28% (95% CI 0.15–0.42) and +7.4% time in range, but there were no significant effects on body weight (−0.7 kg) or BMI (−0.4 kg/m²), and only 5 of 25 trials measured physical activity (results mixed, no consistent improvement). Crucially, the population was overwhelmingly diabetic (~68% type 2 diabetes) and only 3 of the 25 trials enrolled people without diabetes (all in overweight/obesity); the authors state that more studies are needed "particularly in subgroups that have been minimally investigated (e.g., participants without diabetes)" and that different outcome measures may be more appropriate in that group.
Weighted 0.55 — 25 RCTs and 2,996 participants — well powered and cleanly executed. The problem is directness, not precision: about 68% of participants had type 2 diabetes and only 3 of the 25 trials enrolled people without diabetes, while the claim concerns CGM use by non-diabetic people. The authors say as much themselves. Commercial consulting ties (weight-loss and nutrition-app companies) are declared but the headline result on body weight is null, which limits the concern.
Funding: No funding declared; authors disclose consulting relationships with WeightWatchers International, Zoe and Viocare
International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity
AGAINST Cross-Sectionaln=340.55 Akintola AA, Noordam R et al. (2015)
CGM vs simultaneous venous glucose over 24 h: MARD 17.6% (SD 17%), median within-person correlation 0.68 (IQR 0.40-0.78); CGM read 0.22 mmol/L high during the day and understated 24-h variability (SD 1.07 vs 1.26, p = 0.004)
Method-comparison study in 34 healthy, normoglycaemic adults (mean age 65.7 y) in whom glucose was measured simultaneously every 10 minutes for 24 hours by an Enlite CGM sensor and by venous blood sampling. Agreement was mediocre: the mean absolute relative difference (MARD) was 17.6% (SD 17%) and the median within-person correlation between CGM and venous glucose was only 0.68 (IQR 0.40–0.78) — far worse than the ~9–10% MARD that CGMs achieve in the diabetic range they are validated against. CGM also systematically read 0.22 mmol/L higher than venous blood during the day and understated glycaemic variability (24-h SD 1.07 by CGM vs 1.26 by venous sampling, p = 0.004). The authors' conclusion of "good agreement" is generous given the error magnitude relative to the narrow glucose range healthy people actually occupy.
Weighted 0.55 — n=34 healthy normoglycaemic adults, every-10-minute paired sampling for a full 24 h — a rigorous head-to-head design, publicly funded, with the funders stated to have had no role. Limitations that keep it mid-range: modest n, one older sensor generation (Enlite), and a mean age of 65.7 y, which makes it only partially direct evidence about CGM accuracy in the general healthy population.
Funding: European Commission FP7 projects Switchbox and HUMAN
PLoS One
AGAINST Cross-Sectionaln=560.35 Richardson KM, Jospe MR et al. (2025)
68% reported fear of developing type 2 diabetes on seeing an elevated reading, regardless of actual diabetes status; higher eating-disorder symptom scores correlated with device distress (r > 0.3, p < 0.01); 89% also reported positive diet or activity changes
Mixed-methods cross-sectional survey of 56 adults (with and without diabetes, none on insulin) who had used a CGM in the previous year, measuring CGM-related distress alongside psychological traits and thematic analysis of open-ended responses. More than two-thirds (68%) reported fear of developing type 2 diabetes when they saw an elevated glucose reading — regardless of whether they actually had diabetes — and greater distress was associated with younger age and obesity (p < 0.01), while higher eating-disorder symptom scores correlated with distress about the device (r > 0.3, p < 0.01). At the same time 89% reported making positive dietary and/or physical-activity changes, and the qualitative data showed distress often coexisting with behaviour change. Small, self-selected, retrospective sample, so it documents that the harm signal is real and common among users rather than quantifying its incidence.
Weighted 0.35 — n=56, self-selected, retrospective survey of people who had chosen to use a CGM, with no comparison group — so it can show the harm signal exists and is common among users, but it cannot estimate incidence, and recall and selection bias both run in the direction of the finding. The mixed-methods design and the co-occurring positive-behaviour data are a strength. Funding could not be verified (paywalled).
Obesity Research & Clinical Practice
NEUTRAL (2)
NEUTRAL Prospective Cohortn=8000.55 Zeevi D, Korem T et al. (2015)
High person-to-person variability in postprandial glucose to identical meals across 46,898 meals; ML model validated in an independent 100-person cohort; personalized diets beat 'bad' diets on postprandial glucose in a 26-person one-week crossover
The foundational "personalised nutrition" study: an 800-person cohort wore CGMs for a week while 46,898 meals were logged, revealing high person-to-person variability in the postprandial glucose response to identical meals. The authors trained a machine-learning model on blood tests, dietary habits, anthropometrics, physical activity and gut microbiome, validated it in an independent 100-person cohort, and then ran a small randomised crossover intervention (n = 26) in which algorithmically personalised "good" diets produced lower postprandial glucose responses than "bad" diets over one week. What it establishes is that glycaemic responses vary between individuals and can be predicted from a rich multi-omic model — not that a person without diabetes who buys a CGM and interprets it themselves obtains any health benefit; the endpoint was a one-week surrogate (postprandial glucose), not weight, HbA1c, or any clinical outcome.
Weighted 0.55 — 800 participants wearing CGMs across 46,898 meals — large and technically excellent for what it measured. Downgraded hard on directness and independence. The endpoint is a one-week surrogate (postprandial glucose), not weight, HbA1c or any clinical outcome, and the interventional arm is just 26 people for one week, so it cannot speak to whether a non-diabetic buying a CGM benefits. The paper carries no competing-interests or patent declaration at all, yet the senior authors patented this algorithm and co-founded DayTwo to sell it.
Funding: Weizmann Institute of Science; Israeli Ministry of Science, Technology and Space; European Research Council; Israel Science Foundation; named philanthropic endowments
Cell
NEUTRAL Cross-Sectionaln=3634INDUSTRY0.55 Bermingham KM, Smith HA et al. (2026)
In people without diabetes, median glycaemic variability (CV) was 15.3% / 15.0% / 14.5% and median time in a stringent range (3.9-5.6 mmol/L) 73.3% / 76.6% / 75.8% across PREDICT 1/2/3 (median time in the ADA range 3.9-7.8 mmol/L was 95.3% / 96.1% / 96.2%). Higher time in the stringent range tracked with lower HbA1c, lower OGTT glucose and lower carbohydrate intake. Discrimination was mostly poor and mostly non-significant - the only moderate, statistically significant result was time in the stringent range against predicted 10-year ASCVD risk (ROC-AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.59-0.92); no CGM metric significantly discriminated HOMA-IR (0.52-0.66) or liver-fat probability (0.57-0.63), and CGM metrics separated prediabetes from euglycaemia only weakly (ROC-AUC 0.58-0.66). All outcomes are the authors' own non-pre-defined exploratory analyses
Cross-sectional analysis of free-living CGM data from 3,634 people without diabetes (83% female) across the three ZOE PREDICT cohorts, describing what "normal" looks like. Reported per cohort rather than pooled: median glycaemic variability (CV) was 15.3% / 15.0% / 14.5% in PREDICT 1 / 2 / 3, median time in a stringent range (3.9–5.6 mmol/L) 73.3% / 76.6% / 75.8%, and median time in the ADA range (3.9–7.8 mmol/L) 95.3% / 96.1% / 96.2%. Higher time in the stringent range was associated with lower HbA1c, lower OGTT glucose and lower carbohydrate intake (and higher protein intake); sleep duration was inversely correlated with mean glucose. Discrimination for cardiometabolic risk was weak and mostly non-significant: the single moderate result was time in the stringent range against predicted 10-year ASCVD risk (ROC–AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.59–0.92), while no CGM metric significantly discriminated HOMA-IR (ROC–AUC 0.52–0.66) or liver-fat probability (0.57–0.63), and CGM metrics distinguished prediabetes from euglycaemia only weakly (0.58–0.66). The design is cross-sectional against risk markers, not disease events, and the authors label all of these outcomes non-pre-defined exploratory analyses. They state explicitly that "longer-term health outcomes are required to demonstrate whether CGM monitoring has utility for health management in euglycaemic individuals."
Weighted 0.55 — n=3,634 free-living participants across three PREDICT cohorts — by far the largest normative CGM dataset, which is why it beats its cross-sectional base weight. Two hard limits keep it at 0.55: the design is cross-sectional against risk *markers*, not disease events (the authors say outright that long-term outcomes are needed), and it is funded and largely authored by ZOE Ltd, the company that sells the CGM-based product — an industry-funded positive, which is the direction that warrants caution.
Funding: ZOE Ltd (TwinsUK support from Wellcome Trust, MRC, Versus Arthritis, EU Horizon 2020, CDRF and NIHR)
Nature Communications